Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.190205 0.216676 0.245101 0.277848 0.314481 0.354152 0.400312
2025-11-16 0.151130 0.185703 0.225344 0.273986 0.331887 0.398411 0.480434
2025-11-23 0.124081 0.162904 0.210023 0.271058 0.347624 0.440054 0.559601
2025-11-30 0.107320 0.149434 0.203176 0.276155 0.371941 0.492562 0.655007
2025-12-07 0.092249 0.135629 0.193600 0.275778 0.388129 0.535044 0.740111
2025-12-14 0.080300 0.124165 0.185329 0.275500 0.403415 0.576433 0.825762
2025-12-21 0.070809 0.114765 0.178520 0.275967 0.418940 0.618345 0.914067
2025-12-28 0.063904 0.108195 0.174812 0.280057 0.439271 0.667552 1.014931
2026-01-04 0.058735 0.103572 0.173326 0.286936 0.463686 0.723565 1.128345
2026-01-11 0.053306 0.097810 0.169353 0.289353 0.481132 0.769951 1.229865
2026-01-18 0.049158 0.093640 0.167381 0.294503 0.502785 0.823464 1.344569
2026-01-25 0.046015 0.090800 0.167218 0.302363 0.528962 0.885028 1.474516
2026-02-01 0.041336 0.084817 0.161405 0.300699 0.540204 0.924959 1.574879
2026-02-08 0.037298 0.079519 0.156234 0.299600 0.552157 0.966575 1.680178
2026-02-15 0.033679 0.074565 0.151148 0.298109 0.563156 1.007051 1.785641
2026-02-22 0.031517 0.072219 0.150589 0.304612 0.588316 1.072211 1.935001
2026-03-01 0.028793 0.068373 0.146788 0.304727 0.601986 1.118512 2.054939
2026-03-08 0.026346 0.064797 0.143129 0.304716 0.615256 1.164619 2.176632
2026-03-15 0.024225 0.061654 0.140000 0.305389 0.629685 1.213315 2.304987
2026-03-22 0.022685 0.059622 0.138922 0.309960 0.651634 1.276357 2.461417
2026-03-29 0.021545 0.058373 0.139348 0.317547 0.679756 1.351841 2.643429
2026-04-05 0.020082 0.056163 0.137487 0.320225 0.698363 1.410696 2.797989
2026-04-12 0.018976 0.054687 0.137082 0.325882 0.723152 1.482137 2.978689